Modified Gravitational Search Algorithm for Energy Demand Estimation of Turkey

Abstract

Estimation of energy demand beforehand is a quite significant problem in respect of economy and sources of country. In this study, Gravitational Search Algorithm (GSA) was modified by making some innovations in GSA and called as Modified Gravitational Search Algorithm (MGSA). Energy demand estimation is conducted through the relationship between the increase in economic indicators in Turkey and energy consumption. Estimation was actualized by using gross domestic product (GSYH), importation, exportation and demography for energy demand estimation and both linear and exponential equations. Energy demand between the years 2017-2037 was predicted by using the data belong to 1997-2011. The years between 2012 and 2016 were used as test data. It was observed that the results acquired via MGSA estimate better compared to GSA results.